Publications

Arnald Puy

Interdisciplinary scholar assessing the effects of uncertainties, ambiguities and unknowns in model-based research.

About

My work focuses on understanding and appraising uncertainties in contentious phenomena, especially those related with agriculture, climate and water resources. My research aims at providing insights for sustainability and makes use of mathematical models, uncertainty and sensitivity analysis, post-normal science and ethics of quantification.

Projects

Here I list the funded projects in which I am involved, either as a Principal Investigator or a collaborator.

DAWN - Illuminating Deep Uncertainties in the Estimation of Global Irrigation Water Withdrawals

DAWN is a Frontier Research Grant project funded by the UKRI Horizon Europe Funding Guarantee. It aims at embracing ambiguities in irrigation modelling to achieve a more robust understanding of water use for agriculture.

Publications

2025
Socio-environmental modeling shows physics-like confidence with water modeling surpassing it in numerical claims

Arnald Puy, Ethan Bacon, Alba Carmona, Samuel Flinders, David Gefen, Mohammad Khanjani, Kai R. Larsen, Alessio Lachi, Seth N. Linga, Samuele Lo Piano, Lieke A. Melsen, Emily Murray, Razi Sheikholeslami, Ariana Sobhani, Nanxin Wei, Andrea Saltelli. iScience 28, 112184.

2025
The rise of the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency in hydrology

Lieke A. Melsen, Paul J.J. Torfs, Arnald Puy, Andrea Saltelli. Hydrological Sciences Journal.

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